4% Rule Calculator

See what the 3%, 4% and 5% rules pay, and which rate actually lasts.

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4% Rule Calculator

Enter the portfolio, expected return, inflation and the period to fund.

Income under the 4% rule
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Enter values above
Income under the 3% rule
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Income under the 5% rule
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Highest rate that lasts
—
Years the 4% rule funds
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Monthly income under 4%
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Worked example

With the default inputs shown below, this calculator returns the following results:

InputValue
Portfolio value ($)800000
Expected return (%)5
Inflation rate (%)2.5
Years to fund30
ResultValue
Income under the 4% rule$32,000
Income under the 3% rule$24,000
Income under the 5% rule$40,000
Highest rate that lasts4.90%
Years the 4% rule funds41 years
Monthly income under 4%$2,667

Values shown are produced by this page in your browser; change any input to update them.

How to use the 4% Rule Calculator

  1. Portfolio value ($) — default 800000
  2. Expected return (%) — default 5
  3. Inflation rate (%) — default 2.5
  4. Years to fund — default 30
  5. Press Calculate to update the results instantly.

Frequently asked questions

It comes from the Trinity study, which tested historical US market data and found that a 4% initial withdrawal, increased with inflation, survived 30 years in almost every period tested.
With lower expected returns than the historical sample, many researchers now suggest 3.3–3.5% for a 30-year horizon. The calculator’s “highest rate that lasts” shows what your own assumptions support.
It assumes a fixed inflation-linked withdrawal. In practice, cutting withdrawals after bad years raises the sustainable rate substantially — a flexible 5% can be safer than a rigid 4%.

Sources & references