Drawdown Calculator

Model how long your pot lasts once you start taking an income from it.

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Drawdown Calculator

Enter the pot, the income you want, the return and inflation.

Portfolio lasts
β€”
Enter values above
Withdrawal rate
β€”
Total withdrawn
β€”
Balance at the end
β€”
4% rule income
β€”
Years of income if returns were zero
β€”

Worked example

With the default inputs shown below, this calculator returns the following results:

InputValue
Portfolio value ($)500000
Annual withdrawal ($)30000
Expected return (%)5
Inflation rate (%)2.5
Years to test30
ResultValue
Portfolio lasts22 years
Withdrawal rate6.00%
Total withdrawn$917,533
Balance at the end$0
4% rule income$20,000
Years of income if returns were zero16.7

Values shown are produced by this page in your browser; change any input to update them.

How to use the Drawdown Calculator

  1. Portfolio value ($) β€” default 500000
  2. Annual withdrawal ($) β€” default 30000
  3. Expected return (%) β€” default 5
  4. Inflation rate (%) β€” default 2.5
  5. Years to test β€” default 30
  6. Press Calculate to update the results instantly.

Frequently asked questions

The finding that a retiree withdrawing 4% of the starting pot, increased with inflation each year, historically lasted 30 years in most market conditions. It is a planning guideline, not a guarantee.
With lower expected returns, many researchers now suggest 3.3–3.5% for a 30-year retirement. A flexible approach β€” trimming withdrawals after bad years β€” raises the sustainable rate.
Because withdrawals rise every year. At 2.5% inflation, a $30,000 income becomes $49,000 after 20 years, so the portfolio must grow just to stand still.

Sources & references